Silicon Analysts
HighMemory·Confidence 88%·HBM shortage: supply constrained with SK Hynix holding 56.4% market share per SEC filing; Micron US DRAM capacity target: 40% of total output domestically by 2035; Micron data center segment gross margin reached 87% on $11.5B revenue (up 103% QoQ), signaling sustained premium pricing on memory inputs to AI hardware.July 10, 2026

HBM Supply Shortage Persists as SK Hynix Commands 56.4% Market Share; Micron Commits $250B to Domestic DRAM Expansion

SK Hynix's SEC filing confirms it holds 56.4% of the HBM market amid a verified global shortage affecting data center builders, with demand for its US listing running 7x oversubscribed — underscoring persistent HBM supply tightness directly impacting AI accelerator BOM costs. Concurrently, Micron has committed $250 billion in US DRAM manufacturing investment through 2035, targeting 40% of its DRAM output domestically, with ground broken on a New York fab on July 9, 2026.

Analysis

The combination of a verified HBM shortage, SK Hynix's dominant 56.4% share, and Micron's record 87% data center gross margin confirms that HBM pricing power remains firmly with suppliers — H200/B100 integrators face structurally elevated memory BOM costs through at least 2026, with meaningful domestic supply relief unlikely before Micron's New York fab reaches volume production later this decade. The $250B CapEx commitment is a long-duration supply signal that does not alleviate near-term tightness.

Chips affected — model the economics

This signal touches these AI accelerators. Open any in the cost calculator, pre-filled with its full BOM.

Silicon Analysts Research

All benchmarks and data are derived from publicly available sources (earnings calls, press releases, analyst reports, regulatory filings). Figures are estimates for educational purposes only and should not be used as the sole basis for business or investment decisions. Public sources only — no insider data. Generated from the cited reports; verify against the originals before acting. Full Terms & Data Provenance

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