Silicon Analysts

Semiconductor Component Lead Times — Historical Time Series Data

Lead times in weeks for key AI chip supply chain components: CoWoS packaging, HBM memory by generation, TSMC leading-edge wafers. Tracks the bottleneck cycle from 2022–2026.

Semiconductor Component Lead Times

Lead times in weeks for key AI chip supply chain components: CoWoS packaging, HBM memory by generation, TSMC leading-edge wafers. Tracks the bottleneck cycle from 2022–2026.

20 data points·Unit: weeks·Last updated: Mar 2026

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Data Table

PeriodSeriesValue
Q1 2022
CoWoS-S
•••
Q4 2022
CoWoS-S
•••
Q2 2023
CoWoS-S
•••
Q2 2023
HBM3E
•••
Q4 2023
CoWoS-S
•••
Q4 2023
CoWoS-L
•••
Q4 2023
HBM3E
•••
Q4 2023
TSMC N3
•••
Q2 2024
CoWoS-S
40
Q2 2024
CoWoS-L
52
Q2 2024
HBM3E
40
Q2 2024
TSMC N3
44
Q4 2024
TSMC N3
36
Q4 2024
CoWoS-S
32
Q4 2024
CoWoS-L
44
Q4 2024
HBM3E
28
Q1 2026
TSMC N3
30
Q1 2026
CoWoS-S
28
Q1 2026
CoWoS-L
36
Q1 2026
HBM3E
20

Methodology & Sources

Compiled from TSMC earnings calls, SK Hynix/Samsung investor days, DigiTimes Asia procurement reports, SemiAnalysis supply chain research, and industry procurement surveys. Lead times represent booking-to-delivery for new capacity orders, not existing LTAs.

Citations:

  • DigiTimes / SemiAnalysis (Mar 2022)
  • Industry reports (Dec 2022)
  • TSMC earnings Q2 2023 / SemiAnalysis (Jul 2023)
  • SK Hynix investor day 2023 (Jun 2023)
  • Goldman Sachs semi report Dec 2023 (Dec 2023)
  • Industry estimates (Dec 2023)
  • Multiple analyst reports Dec 2023 (Dec 2023)
  • TSMC Q3 2023 earnings (Oct 2023)
  • DigiTimes / TrendForce (Jun 2024)
  • DigiTimes Asia May 2024 (May 2024)
  • TrendForce Q2 2024 (Jun 2024)
  • Industry estimates Q2 2024 (Jun 2024)
  • TSMC investor day Dec 2024 (Dec 2024)
  • SemiVision / GlobalSemiResearch (Dec 2024)
  • GlobalSemiResearch Dec 2024 (Dec 2024)
  • TrendForce / DeepResearch (Dec 2024)
  • Silicon Analysts estimate Mar 2026 (Mar 2026)

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Capacity: P&T7 packaging facility targeted for end-2027; M17 NAND fab operations targeted H1 2029; SK Group aggregate HBM/DRAM CapEx: ~$706B committed. Supply tightness signal: ISM June 2026 survey flags memory in active short supply (no precise % figure cited). Bernstein projects SK Hynix DRAM gross margins peaking at ~92.7% in Q4 2026, implying sustained elevated HBM ASPs through at least 2028.

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